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USA | Aug 28, 2026

OT Equity Analysis | Pepsico: A fallen consumer-staples favourite is starting to look like a value opportunity

/ Our Today

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(Photo: Contributed)

PepsiCo has spent much of 2026 confronting a problem that historically high-quality consumer-staples companies eventually face: what happens when pricing power weakens at the same time consumer preferences begin to change? The result has been a substantial valuation reset that is making the shares more interesting for long-term investors.

PepsiCo’s portfolio combines Pepsi, Gatorade and other beverage brands with Frito-Lay, Quaker and a global snacks operation. That diversification historically allowed strength in one category to offset weakness in another and gave the company enormous leverage with retailers and distributors.

The latest results show a business in transition rather than collapse. PepsiCo’s second-quarter materials point to continued pressure in portions of the North American snacks portfolio while beverages remain more resilient. Management is responding through product innovation, productivity initiatives, packaging changes and a renewed focus on affordability and consumer relevance.

FILE PHOTO: Bottles of Pepsi are pictured at a grocery store in Pasadena
Bottles of Pepsi are pictured at a grocery store in Pasadena, California. Photo taken July 11, 2017. (File photo: REUTERS/Mario Anzuoni) (Photo taken July 11, 2017. (File photo: REUTERS/Mario Anzuoni))

The strategic challenge is changing eating behaviour. Consumers are increasingly attentive to ingredients, protein, portion size and weight management. The rapid adoption of GLP-1 obesity treatments has added another concern for packaged-food companies because appetite suppression could reduce consumption of traditional snacks. At the same time, private-label competition and cost inflation are pressuring parts of the sector.

PepsiCo has advantages in adapting. Its distribution system, advertising budget, brand portfolio and retailer relationships allow it to reformulate products, introduce new formats and shift investment toward categories where demand is growing. The company also possesses a valuable global beverage franchise that provides diversification from snacks.

PepsiCo traded around US$140 in mid-August, approximately 18 per cent below its 52-week high of US$171.48. The shares gained 0.83 per cent on August 24, but remain well below their previous peak. That underperformance contrasts sharply with Coca-Cola’s strong 2026 rally and has widened the relative valuation gap between the two beverage giants.

Bottles of Pepsi are displayed on a shelf in supermarket
FILE PHOTO: Bottles of Pepsi are displayed on a shelf in a supermarket in Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina October 29, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File Photo

An activist investor presence adds another catalyst. Elliott Investment Management has supported changes intended to improve execution and portfolio performance, increasing pressure on management to accelerate productivity and sharpen capital allocation.

Risks are persistent volume weakness, further changes in consumer eating patterns, commodity inflation, currency movements and the possibility that product reformulation damages brand appeal. Catalysts include improving North American snack volumes, stronger beverage growth, cost savings, portfolio changes, activist-driven discipline and a recovery in consumer purchasing power.

Our Today View

Moderately Positive. PepsiCo is not currently delivering the operating momentum of Coca-Cola, but that weakness is increasingly reflected in the share price. For patient investors, the combination of global brands, distribution scale, dividend income and a valuation materially below the prior high creates a more attractive contrarian setup.

Prepared using current market and company information available through August 24, 2026.

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